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What people were betting on, Saturday, November 14, 2026
The busiest prediction markets on Polymarket that day, leaving out single games and short crypto price bets. Each page shows the odds, how they moved and, where the same market is on Kalshi, both prices side by side.
| Market | Lead, 24h |
|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 26% | – |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 18% | – |
| Next French Presidential Election Leading on Polymarket: Marine Le Pen, 47% | – |
| Next CEO of NVIDIA? Leading on Polymarket: Rene Haas, 25% | +4 pts |
| Nationwide ground stop lifted by...? Leading on Polymarket: November 13, 10:00 PM ET, >99% | – |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Leading on Polymarket: November 13, >99% | – |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: J.D. Vance, 37% | +5 pts |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Polymarket traders give this a 1% chance | – |
| Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2027, 29% | +2 pts |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 55% | −3 pts |
| Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 39% | −28 pts |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2% | – |
| Jensen Huang divorce by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 2027, 30% | −5 pts |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 82% | −1 pt |
| Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner Leading on Polymarket: Zoran Janković, 74% | +4 pts |
| FAA outage attributed to Iran? Leading on Polymarket: FAA outage attributed to Iran?, <1% | −2 pts |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner Leading on Polymarket: Chiang Wan-an, 66% | – |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden Leading on Polymarket: Ulf Kristersson, 68% | +14 pts |
See the big bets as they land. ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on Kalshi and Polymarket the moment it's placed, and the AI Analyst researches any market in about a minute.
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Earlier days: 11-13 · 11-12 · 11-11 · 11-10 · 11-09 · 11-08 · 11-07 · 11-06 · 11-05 · 11-04 · 11-03 · 11-02 · 11-01
Odds are the market's last traded price shown as a chance; they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Source: Polymarket. Game odds · Election odds