Trending
What people were betting on, Tuesday, November 10, 2026
The busiest prediction markets on Polymarket that day, leaving out single games and short crypto price bets. Each page shows the odds, how they moved and, where the same market is on Kalshi, both prices side by side.
| Market | Lead, 24h |
|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election Leading on Polymarket: Marine Le Pen, 46% | +1 pt |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 64% | −2 pts |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 27% | – |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Leading on Polymarket: November 11, >99% | – |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 17% | – |
| Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...? Leading on Polymarket: November 12 (11:59 PM ET), >99% | +7 pts |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: J.D. Vance, 31% | – |
| Anthropic IPO by __? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2026, 98% | – |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 14% | −1 pt |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2% | – |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2027, 88% | +51 pts |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket traders give this a 8% chance | – |
| Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 27% | −1 pt |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 34% | −4 pts |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 83% | +2 pts |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2026, 40% | −10 pts |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Leading on Polymarket: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?, 3% | −2 pts |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Leading on Polymarket: Another Fed rate hike in 2026?, 95% | +4 pts |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner Leading on Polymarket: Chiang Wan-an, 66% | – |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Leading on Polymarket: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?, 14% | +1 pt |
See the big bets as they land. ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on Kalshi and Polymarket the moment it's placed, and the AI Analyst researches any market in about a minute.
Try it free
Try it free
Earlier days: 11-09 · 11-08 · 11-07 · 11-06 · 11-05 · 11-04 · 11-03 · 11-02 · 11-01
Odds are the market's last traded price shown as a chance; they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Source: Polymarket. Game odds · Election odds