Trending market · updated Nov 1, 11:49 AM ET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Leading on Polymarket: October 29, >99%. $832K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around December 31, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| October 29 | >99% | – |
| October 30 | >99% | – |
| November 1 | >99% | +2 pts |
| November 2 | >99% | +2 pts |
| November 3 | 99% | +2 pts |
| November 4 | 95% | +4 pts |
| November 5 | 91% | +3 pts |
| November 6 | 88% | +4 pts |
| November 7 | 82% | +4 pts |
| November 15 | 66% | +3 pts |
| November 22 | 64% | +4 pts |
| November 30 | 54% | −1 pt |
Who's betting big on this? ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on markets like this one as it lands, with the trader's track record, and the AI Analyst researches the question for you in about a minute.
Try it free
Try it free
Also trending
- Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will 1win launch a token by ___?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets