Trending
What people were betting on, Sunday, November 8, 2026
The busiest prediction markets on Polymarket that day, leaving out single games and short crypto price bets. Each page shows the odds, how they moved and, where the same market is on Kalshi, both prices side by side.
| Market | Lead, 24h |
|---|---|
| US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? Leading on Polymarket: November 5, >99% | – |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Leading on Polymarket: November 11, >99% | – |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 17% | – |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: Jon Ossoff, 27% | – |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Leading on Polymarket: J.D. Vance, 31% | – |
| Next French Presidential Election Leading on Polymarket: Marine Le Pen, 46% | +1 pt |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Leading on Polymarket: March 31, 64% | −2 pts |
| Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...? Leading on Polymarket: November 12 (11:59 PM ET), >99% | +7 pts |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2% | – |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden Leading on Polymarket: Ulf Kristersson, 54% | +1 pt |
| NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner Leading on Polymarket: CJ Carr, 28% | −5 pts |
| Next Press Secretary? Leading on Polymarket: Dana W. White, 32% | – |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? Leading on Polymarket: Nicolás Maduro, 94% | – |
| Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? Leading on Polymarket: Pete Hegseth, 39% | +5 pts |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...? Leading on Polymarket: November 30, 5% | −3 pts |
| Next Press Secretary announced by...? Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 72% | – |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Leading on Polymarket: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?, 14% | +1 pt |
| Iran leadership change by...? Leading on Polymarket: June 30, 2027, 23% | −1 pt |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket traders give this a 8% chance | – |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 83% | +2 pts |
See the big bets as they land. ArbTrader's Whale Tracker shows every large bet on Kalshi and Polymarket the moment it's placed, and the AI Analyst researches any market in about a minute.
Try it free
Try it free
Earlier days: 11-07 · 11-06 · 11-05 · 11-04 · 11-03 · 11-02 · 11-01
Odds are the market's last traded price shown as a chance; they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Source: Polymarket. Game odds · Election odds