Trending market · updated Nov 1, 9:27 PM ET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Leading on Polymarket: J.D. Vance, 38%. $583K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 8, 2028.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 38% | −1 pt |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | – |
| Ron DeSantis | 4% | – |
| Tucker Carlson | 3% | – |
| Ted Cruz | 3% | – |
| Donald Trump | 2% | – |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 2% | – |
| Ivanka Trump | 2% | – |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | – |
| Elon Musk | <1% | – |
| Thomas Massie | <1% | – |
| Brian Kemp | <1% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 4% · Tucker Carlson 3% |
| 2026-11-01 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 4% · Tucker Carlson 3% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets