Trending market · updated Nov 3, 10:24 PM ET
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 34%. $220K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 34% | −11 pts |
| November 30 | 22% | −4 pts |
| November 6 | 2% | −13 pts |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | December 31 34% · November 30 22% · November 6 2% |
| 2026-11-03 | December 31 34% · November 30 21% · November 6 3% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets