Trending market · updated Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?
Leading on Polymarket: November 30, 5%. $157K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around December 1, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 5% | −3 pts |
| November 21 | 2% | −3 pts |
| November 14 | <1% | −2 pts |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | November 30 5% · November 21 2% · November 14 <1% |
| 2026-11-10 | November 30 4% · November 21 2% · November 14 <1% |
| 2026-11-09 | November 30 28% · November 21 16% · November 14 8% |
| 2026-11-08 | November 30 30% · November 21 20% · November 14 16% |
| 2026-11-06 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? 19% |
| 2026-11-05 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? 28% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets