Trending market · updated Nov 8, 6:59 AM ET
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
Leading on Polymarket: November 5, >99%. $110K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| November 5 | >99% | – |
| November 6 | 99% | +2 pts |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | November 5 >99% · November 6 99% |
| 2026-11-07 | November 5 >99% · November 6 99% |
| 2026-11-06 | November 5 >99% · November 6 97% · November 8 71% · November 15 49% |
| 2026-11-05 | November 5 99% · November 6 92% · November 8 80% · November 15 57% |
| 2026-11-04 | November 5 95% · November 6 90% · November 8 82% · November 15 57% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets