Trending market · updated Nov 11, 2:42 AM ET
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Leading on Polymarket: None before 2027, 48%. $209K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| None before 2027 | 48% | – | −4 pts |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 42% | – | +4 pts |
| Sánchez - Spanish PM | 3% | – | −2 pts |
| Abbas - President of Palestine | 2% | – | +1 pt |
| Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | 2% | – | +1 pt |
| Lecornu - France PM | 1% | – | – |
| Merz - German Chancellor | 1% | – | +1 pt |
| Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | <1% | – | – |
| al-Sharaa - Syria President | <1% | – | – |
| Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea | <1% | – | – |
| Xi - General Secretary of the CCP | <1% | – | – |
| Trump - USA President | <1% | 2% | – |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Trump - USA President is <1% on Polymarket and 2% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets