Georgia Senate race 2026: Jon Ossoff (D) wins: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds
The price to buy each side on each site, updated 5 minutes ago. Kalshi closes this market on November 3, 2027.
| Side | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 97¢ | 98¢ |
| No | 3¢ | 2¢ |
A price of 47¢ means the market puts it at about 47%; each contract pays $1 if it happens. Green is the cheaper site for that side. Best ask only, before fees.
Election markets settle differently on the two sites. Kalshi pays on the party whose candidate is sworn in (or that wins control), early 2027; Polymarket pays on the projected winner, much sooner. A recount, court fight or party switch can split them, and money on Kalshi stays tied up until it settles. All 2026 election odds side by side.
Get pinged when it pays →
On the sites: Kalshi · Polymarket · Polymarket calls it “Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?”
Why are Kalshi and Polymarket prices different?
They're separate exchanges with different traders, fees and rules, so the same question can trade at different prices. When buying opposite sides on the two sites costs less than $1 after fees, you can lock in the difference whoever wins, as long as both sites settle the question the same way. Read the step-by-step guide or how Kalshi vs Polymarket arbitrage works.
We match markets across the two sites by title, dates and rules; check both sites' rules before trading. Prices can change at any moment. Not financial advice. ArbTrader isn't affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.