Trending market · updated Nov 11, 11:18 PM ET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket traders give this a 1% chance. $148K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Market | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 1% | – |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | 1% |
| 2026-11-11 | 1% |
| 2026-11-07 | 2% |
| 2026-11-06 | 2% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets