Trending market · updated Nov 1, 11:49 AM ET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Leading on Polymarket: October 31, >99%. $649K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around January 1, 2027.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| October 31 | >99% | +1 pt |
| November 2 | 97% | +4 pts |
| November 4 | 91% | +5 pts |
| November 8 | 75% | +3 pts |
| November 15 | 53% | +1 pt |
| November 22 | 43% | −2 pts |
| November 30 | 37% | −1 pt |
| December 31 | 27% | −1 pt |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets