Trending market · updated Nov 1, 11:49 AM ET

Texas Senate Election Winner

Leading on Polymarket: James Talarico (D), 71%. $592K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.

OutcomePolymarketKalshi24h7 days
James Talarico (D)71%69%−1 pt+7 pts
Ken Paxton (R)31%32%+2 pts−6 pts
Kalshi vs Polymarket: James Talarico (D) is 71% on Polymarket and 69% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets