Trending market · updated Nov 1, 11:49 AM ET
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Leading on Polymarket: Democratic Party, 95%. $1.4M traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 95% | 94% | – |
| Republican Party | 6% | 7% | – |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Democratic Party is 95% on Polymarket and 94% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets