Trending market · updated Nov 11, 11:48 PM ET

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Leading on Polymarket: December 31, 2027, 46%. $307K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around December 31, 2026.

OutcomePolymarket24h7 days
December 31, 202746%+5 pts−8 pts
March 31, 202725%+4 pts+2 pts
December 316%−2 pts−4 pts

Day by day

DateOdds that day
2026-11-12December 31, 2027 46% · March 31, 2027 25% · December 31 6%
2026-11-11December 31, 2027 49% · March 31, 2027 25% · December 31 6%
2026-11-06December 31, 2027 42% · March 31, 2027 22% · December 31 12%
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets