Trending market · updated Nov 1, 11:49 AM ET
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Leading on Polymarket: Ashley Hinson (R), 59%. $480K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around November 4, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) | 59% | 58% | +3 pts |
| Josh Turek (D) | 42% | 44% | −3 pts |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Ashley Hinson (R) is 59% on Polymarket and 58% on Kalshi, about the same. ArbTrader watches gaps like this around the clock and flags the ones that pay after fees. See all side-by-side odds
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi. All trending markets