Heat vs Warriors odds: Kalshi vs PolymarketUpcoming
NBA, Thursday, November 5, 2026. The price to buy each team on each venue, updated just now.
| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | 53¢ | 58¢ |
| Warriors | 71¢ | 73¢ |
Green is the cheapest venue for that team. Best ask only, before fees.
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What we've seen so far
Biggest price difference: Warriors was 5¢ apart: Kalshi 69¢ vs Polymarket 74¢, Mon, Nov 2, 4:00 AM ET.
We didn't see a spread here that paid after fees on Kalshi and Polymarket so far.
From Kalshi and Polymarket prices read about once a minute, Mon, Nov 2, 3:46 AM to 6:32 AM ET.
On the venues: Kalshi · Polymarket
Why are the prices different?
Kalshi and Polymarket are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so Heat and Warriors can trade at different prices on each for minutes at a time. If buying Heat on one venue and Warriors on another costs less than $1 after fees, the difference is yours whoever wins, as long as both venues settle the game the same way. Read the step-by-step guide and the risks.
Prices are each venue's best ask: the price to buy that team, before fees, at whatever size is for sale. A price of 45¢ means the market puts it at about 45%; each contract pays $1 if that team wins. Venues can settle a postponed or suspended game differently; check both venues' rules before trading. Not financial advice. ArbTrader isn't affiliated with Kalshi and Polymarket.